Arab-Israeli conflict

National Movements

The modern Arab-Israeli conflict finds its origins in the ideological tensions between Zionism and Palestinian nationalism. Palestinian nationalism emerged predominantly as a reaction to the rise of Zionism in the late 19th century, fueled by a shared sense of historical grievance and identity rooted in the land of Palestine. This territory is deemed by Jewish people as their ancestral homeland, while the broader Pan-Arab movement asserts its historical and present-day claims over Palestine as inherently Arab. For several centuries, specifically nearly 400 years, Palestine was governed by the Ottoman Empire, which dominated the region until the aftermath of World War I, particularly following the Great Arab Revolt. This era marked a significant shift in the demographics and sociopolitical landscape of the Middle East, as the Ottomans increasingly promoted a Turkish identity, which led to tensions as discrimination towards Arab populations intensified.

In response to the promises of liberation from Ottoman rule that emerged amid the war, both Jewish and Arab communities began to align themselves with the Allied powers. The dynamics of this support fueled a burgeoning sense of Arab nationalism that sought self-determination and independence from foreign domination. Significantly, both Arab nationalism and Zionism were catalysts for change, drawing their foundational ideas from similar currents in 19th-century Europe. The First Zionist Congress was convened in Basel, Switzerland, in 1897, setting the stage for the political mobilization of Jewish people towards establishing a national homeland in Palestine. Conversely, the formation of the "Arab Club" in Paris in 1906 constituted a concerted effort aimed at fostering Arab political identity and unity.

As the late 19th century progressed, the Jewish community in Europe and the Middle East started to increasingly migrate to Palestine. This immigration was marked by the purchase of land from local Ottoman landlords, contributing to an evolving demographic fabric. By the close of the 19th century, Palestine had a population of about 600,000 people, primarily consisting of Muslim Arabs, along with notable Christian, Druze, Jewish, and smaller groups like the Samaritans and Baháʼís. Within this period, urban centers such as Jerusalem, which was confined to its historic walled city with only a few tens of thousands of residents, began to see the establishment of collective farms known as kibbutzim and the creation of Tel Aviv, the first entirely Jewish city in modern times.

The intrigue of World War I further complicated the regional dynamics. In the years 1915-1916, British High Commissioner Sir Henry McMahon engaged in secret negotiations with Husayn ibn 'Ali, the Arab leader and Ottoman governor of Mecca and Medina. McMahon persuaded Husayn to lead an Arab revolt against Ottoman authority, which had allied itself with Germany during the conflict. Promised support from the British for an independent Arab state under Hashemite leadership in exchange for military cooperation, this revolt garnered notable traction and was ultimately successful, aided by figures like T. E. Lawrence, commonly referred to as "Lawrence of Arabia." The success of this campaign led to British control over significant parts of the region, profoundly shaping the political landscape of the post-war Middle East and laying the groundwork for future conflicts over national identity and territorial claims.

First Mandate Years and the Franco-Syrian War

In 1917, during World War I, British forces, including the Jewish Legion, successfully occupied Palestine after significant military engagement. This occupation was accompanied by the issuance of the Balfour Declaration by the British government. The declaration articulated the British support for "the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people" while simultaneously emphasizing that this initiative should not undermine the civil and religious rights of the existing non-Jewish communities in the region. The motivations behind this declaration were multifaceted. Notably, key figures in the British government, such as Prime Minister David Lloyd George, believed that garnering Jewish support would be crucial in securing victory in the ongoing war. However, this ambitious policy ignited substantial unrest among Arab populations, who perceived it as a direct threat to their rights and aspirations, sowing seeds of future conflict.

Following the conclusion of World War I, Palestine came under British administration as part of the British Mandate, officially established in 1923. This mandate encompassed what are now the State of Israel, the West Bank, and the Gaza Strip. In a reconfiguration of territorial governance, Transjordan was designated as a separate British protectorate, which would gradually navigate towards autonomy in 1928 and full independence in 1946, with the United Nations overseeing the dissolution of the British Mandate. The political landscape of the Middle East was transformed as Arab national sentiment began to solidify in these early years of British rule.

The early 1920s saw a major upheaval in Arab nationalist movements, particularly after the failed establishment of the Arab Kingdom of Syria in 1920, which resulted from the disastrous outcomes of the Franco-Syrian War. The ambitious Hashemite monarchy, which had declared itself with Damascus as its capital, was unable to maintain its power and was defeated. Its rulers found refuge in Mandatory Iraq, marking a significant setback for Arab unity and national aspirations. Amidst this turmoil, the first confrontations between Arab and Jewish communities occurred, exemplified by the Battle of Tel Hai in March 1920. This period also witnessed the rise of a distinct Palestinian nationalism, embodied by figures like Amin al-Husseini, who returned to Jerusalem from exile in Damascus towards the end of 1920.

During this tumultuous time, Jewish immigration to Palestine persisted, driven by the promise of a homeland and opportunities for settlement. Concurrently, there are indications, albeit less documented, of immigration from surrounding Arab regions, augmenting the demographic complexities of the territory. The influx of Jewish immigrants, combined with policies favoring their land ownership and employment, provoked widespread anxiety among Palestinian Arabs, who perceived this as an existential threat to their homeland and cultural identity. As a result, agitation grew within Arab communities, culminating in protests against British policies that appeared to prioritize Jewish immigration and settlement. The tensions escalated further following the incitement of riots led by al-Husseini in Jerusalem, leading to violence later that year. In an attempt to alleviate Arab concerns, Winston Churchill's 1922 White Paper clarified that the intention behind the Balfour Declaration was not to establish a separate Jewish state, though such reassurances failed to quell the growing divide and unrest in the region.

1929 marked a significant and tragic turning point in the Arab-Jewish relations within Mandatory Palestine, primarily sparked by rising tensions surrounding religious sites. The riots began after a demonstration organized by Vladimir Jabotinsky's political group, Betar, at the Western Wall in Jerusalem, a site sacred to both Jews and Muslims. The demonstration was seen by many Arabs as an incitement, leading to widespread violence and unrest. The rapid escalation of conflict resulted in riots not only in Jerusalem but also in other cities across Mandatory Palestine, showcasing the deep division and hostilities that populated the region during this period.

The violence reached its peak in Hebron, where acts of aggression turned deadly. In what is now referred to as the Hebron Massacre, 67 Jewish residents were killed by Arab assailants, which deeply traumatized the Jewish community and underscored the fragility of their safety within the region. Similar atrocities were reported in other locations, contributing to a staggering toll of casualties on both sides. During the course of the week-long riots, a total of at least 116 Arabs and 133 Jews lost their lives, with 339 others sustaining injuries. These events acted as a catalyst for heightened animosities and would have lasting implications for both communities in the following decades.

The 1929 riots are often viewed through the lens of a broader historical context. The period preceding these events was marked by a rise in nationalist sentiments among both Arabs and Jews, particularly in the wake of increased Jewish immigration driven by the Zionist movement. Tensions over land ownership, economic competition, and cultural identity were compounded by the international political climate of the time, which saw the British Mandate authorities struggling to manage escalating conflicts. The repercussions of the 1929 violence would reverberate for years to come, laying the groundwork for subsequent outbreaks of violence and contributing to the complexities surrounding the Arab-Israeli conflict that still persists today.

During the 1930s and 1940s, the demographic landscape of Mandatory Palestine underwent significant changes. By 1931, the Jewish population composed 17 percent of the total inhabitants of the region, indicating a marked increase from the 1922 census. This rise in Jewish residents was largely fueled by the influx of Jewish immigrants fleeing the oppressive regime of the Nazis in Germany. The situation in Europe prompted a sharp escalation in Jewish immigration, effectively doubling the Jewish population in British Palestine in the years that followed.

Amidst rising tensions, figures like Izz ad-Din al-Qassam emerged as key players in the burgeoning conflict. Al-Qassam, who migrated from Syria, founded the militant organization known as the Black Hand, which was rooted in anti-Zionist and anti-British sentiments. His efforts to recruit and train local peasants contributed to a formidable force of men, estimated to be between 200 and 800. Armed with bombs and firearms, the Black Hand engaged in violent acts against Jewish settlers, vandalizing their plantations and inciting fear within the Jewish community. The conflict escalated significantly by 1936, culminating in the Arab revolt that lasted until 1939, further entrenching divisions between the Jewish and Arab populations.

The British authorities, grappling with the growing unrest and pressure from Arab leaders, implemented drastic measures to limit Jewish immigration to Palestine. The White Paper of 1939 marked a pivotal moment in this regard, announcing significant restrictions on the entry of Jewish refugees, an action that coincided with the horrors of the Holocaust in Europe. As Jewish communities faced persecution, many sought refuge in Mandatory Palestine, with a substantial proportion entering the territory illegally through operations known as Aliyah Bet. This restriction on legal immigration engendered further tensions between Jewish and Arab communities, setting the stage for escalating violence.

In light of the deteriorating situation, the British government found itself in a position of seeking international assistance. On May 15, 1947, the newly formed United Nations took up the question of Palestine, leading to the appointment of the United Nations Special Committee on Palestine (UNSCOP). This committee, deliberately devoid of representation from any major powers to ensure neutrality, spent five weeks studying conditions on the ground. Its recommendations culminated in a Report delivered on September 3, 1947, which included both a majority plan advocating for the Partition of Palestine with Economic Union and a minority plan proposing the establishment of an Independent State of Palestine. The majority plan ultimately found favor with the UN General Assembly, resulting in Resolution 181, which was adopted on November 29, 1947, with 33 votes in favor, 13 against, and 10 abstentions. Notably, all six Arab states represented in the UN opposed the resolution, reflecting the deep-seated divisions that characterized the region at the time. Meanwhile, armed clashes became increasingly common as both Arab and Jewish factions engaged in violent confrontations to assert control, with numerous atrocities reported from both sides, foreshadowing the turbulent events that lay ahead.

Civil War in Mandatory Palestine

In the tumultuous weeks leading up to the conclusion of the British Mandate in Palestine, the Haganah, a Jewish paramilitary organization, initiated a series of offensives that significantly altered the complexities of the region. Their strategic military campaigns enabled them to gain control over territories designated for the Jewish State by the United Nations plan for partition. These offensives not only established a robust Jewish presence in key areas but also resulted in a considerable humanitarian crisis, creating thousands of Palestinian refugees. Notable urban centers such as Tiberias, Haifa, Safad, Beisan, and Jaffa fell under their control, marking a critical point in the escalating conflict.

In early 1948, the stakes heightened when the United Kingdom announced its unwavering intention to terminate its mandate over Palestine on 14 May. This decision prompted a reaction from the United States; President Harry S. Truman, on 25 March, proposed a shift toward a UN trusteeship rather than adhering to the previously suggested partition plan. Truman highlighted the growing tensions, expressing concern about the feasibility of the partition due to escalating violence and a lack of consensus among the local populations. His warning was stark: without prompt intervention, the impending end of the mandate would leave a power vacuum, leading to unchecked violence and widespread bloodshed across the region.

As the countdown to the mandate's expiration neared its conclusion, the atmosphere in the Holy Land became increasingly fraught. The Haganah's military actions not only fortified their territorial claims but also inflamed existing hostilities between Arab and Jewish communities. In anticipation of the looming power shift, various groups began to arm themselves, heightening the sense of impending conflict. These developments set the stage for the Arab-Israeli War of 1948, where both sides would vie for control over the land, profoundly reshaping the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East and giving rise to an enduring conflict that continues to resonate today.

The legacy of this civil war period is complex and polarizing. The displacement of Palestinians created a refugee crisis that persists to this day, fueling ongoing tensions and debates about rights, sovereignty, and reconciliation. Meanwhile, the actions taken by Jewish groups like the Haganah, while aimed at state-building, are viewed by many as aggressive and imperialistic, contributing to a cycle of violence that has permeated the region for decades. The narrative surrounding these events remains contentious, with differing perspectives on legitimacy, historical grievances, and the quest for lasting peace in a territory that is home to multiple cultural and religious identities.

Declaration and Invasion

On May 14, 1948, as the British Mandate over Palestine came to an end, a pivotal moment unfolded with the gathering of the Jewish People's Council at the Tel Aviv Museum. It was there that David Ben-Gurion, the Executive Head of the World Zionist Organization, announced the establishment of an independent Jewish state in Eretz Israel, known as the State of Israel. This declaration did not define specific borders, only affirming the establishment of a Jewish homeland in the region. Almost immediately following the announcement, the Secretary-General of the League of Arab States communicated with the United Nations, expressing the Arab nations' solidarity and intent to intervene militarily in Palestine to restore law and order, claiming their intervention was both necessary and justified.

On the very next day, the armies of Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, and Iraq moved into the territory previously held under British Mandate. This military action marked the commencement of the 1948 Arab-Israeli War. The newly formed Israeli Defense Force managed to defend against the invading Arab armies, ultimately expanding its territorial claims beyond the outline set by the United Nations Special Committee on Palestine (UNSCOP) partition plan. By the end of 1948, Israel had gained control over a significant portion of the land once part of Mandate Palestine, while the remaining territories became divided between Jordan, which took control of what is now the West Bank, and Egypt, which governed the Gaza Strip.

Displacement and Aftermath

The conflict resulted in massive displacement, as around 713,000 Palestinian Arabs fled their homes during and after the war, leading to what is known today as the Palestinian refugee crisis. Many Palestinians left due to a mixture of promises made by Arab leaders, who assured them they could return post-conflict, as well as the violence and intimidation experienced in various towns and villages inflicted by both Israeli military actions and Jewish paramilitary groups. Notably, the Deir Yassin massacre rallied many Palestinians to evacuate their homes, fearing for their safety.

In the aftermath of 1948, emerging Israeli documents revealed the darker facet of this conflict, including a covert biological warfare campaign named "Cast Thy Bread," aimed at poisoning water supplies in Palestinian areas to deter refugees from returning. This act underscored the severe humanitarian consequences faced by Palestinians during this turbulent period.

Jewish Communities in Arab States

Simultaneously, the status of Jewish communities in Arab countries deteriorated significantly due to the escalating conflict surrounding the creation of Israel. In December 1947, anti-Jewish riots erupted in various parts of the Arab world, with Aleppo and Aden experiencing particularly severe violence. Jews in Libya faced the loss of citizenship, while in Iraq, their property was confiscated. Groups of Jews were expelled from Egypt during the Suez Crisis of 1956, and Algeria stripped its French citizens, including the Jewish population, of their citizenship following its independence from France in 1962.

Over the next twenty years, these crises prompted substantial emigration, with around 850,000 Jews from Arab nations relocating to Israel and other countries. This wave of displacement resulted in a dramatic shift in demographics, as these Jewish refugees contributed significantly to the fabric of Israeli society while the Arab states saw the depopulation of their once vibrant Jewish communities, forever changing the socio-political landscape of the region. These intertwined narratives underscore the complexities and lasting repercussions stemming from the 1948 Arab-Israeli War, an event that fundamentally reshaped both Israeli and Palestinian identities and their respective historical trajectories.

Aftermath of the 1948 War

The aftermath of Israel's victory in the 1948 Arab–Israeli War had lasting implications on both Arab and Jewish populations. Following the ceasefire lines established after the war, many Palestinian Arabs found themselves unable to return to their homes within what had become Israel. Their displacement resulted in a significant and enduring refugee crisis; today, numerous Palestinian refugees trace their ancestry back to those who fled or were expelled during the conflict. The situation is further complicated by different narratives regarding the cause of this large-scale displacement. Historian Benny Morris posits that the majority of Palestinian Arabs abandoned their homes due to pressures exerted by Jewish forces, including military actions, assaults, and pervasive fears stemming from the conflict. In contrast, evidence suggests that explicit orders from Arab leadership to evacuate only played a significant role in a small fraction of the settlements involved.

Compounding the complexities of post-war demographics, approximately 700,000 Jews emigrated to Israel between 1948 and 1952, a significant number of whom relocated from Arab countries experiencing rising hostility toward Jewish communities. This included roughly 285,000 Jews, whose migration marked a drastic demographic shift in the region.

Heightening Tensions in the 1950s

In 1956, tensions escalated once more when Egypt, under the leadership of President Gamal Abdel Nasser, closed the Straits of Tiran and blockaded the Gulf of Aqaba, a move that violated international agreements aimed at ensuring navigational freedom. The situation intensified on July 26, 1956, when Egypt nationalized the Suez Canal, prompting Israel to launch a military campaign on October 29 with support from British and French forces. The Suez Crisis culminated in Israel capturing key territories, including the Gaza Strip and the Sinai Peninsula, but international pressure from the United States and the United Nations compelled it to withdraw. Ultimately, Egypt agreed to allow free navigation through the Straits while the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEF) was deployed to supervise the demilitarization of the Sinai Peninsula, albeit only on the Egyptian side due to Israel's refusal to permit deployments within its territory.

Water Conflict and Rise of the PLO

With the completion of significant infrastructure projects like the National Water Carrier in 1964, Israel focused on harnessing water from the Jordan River to support its growing population and settlement efforts, particularly in the arid Negev region. This, however, incited regional tensions as neighboring Arab states, particularly Syria, sought to divert the Jordan River's headwaters to counter Israel's water diversion efforts.

Additionally, the establishment of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) in 1964 marked a new phase in Palestinian nationalism and resistance, articulated in its charter which emphasized the aims of liberating Palestine and opposing Zionist and imperialism perceived as encroaching on Palestinian rights.

Escalation Towards War in 1967

The geopolitical landscape shifted dramatically in May 1967, as Egypt expelled UNEF peacekeepers and amassed troops in the Sinai Peninsula, reminiscent of the blockade seen a decade earlier. This military mobilization coincided with Jordan forging a mutual defense pact with Egypt, amplifying fears in Israel of a coordinated attack. In response to the mounting threats, Israel struck first on June 5, 1967, launching a preemptive strike against Egyptian forces. This surprise assault resulted in the destruction of the majority of the Egyptian Air Force and initiated airstrikes against Jordanian and Syrian forces. This decisive military action played a critical role in the Six-Day War, after which Israel acquired significant territories including the Sinai Peninsula, the Gaza Strip, and the West Bank (including East Jerusalem).

The consequences of the Six-Day War continue to shape the geopolitical dynamics in the region, cementing territorial disputes and ongoing tensions that influence both Israeli and Palestinian narratives to this day. This transformation not only altered regional boundaries but also contributed to the multi-faceted conflict that persists, further complicating any potential paths towards peace.

Arab-Israeli Conflict: 1967–1973

In the wake of the Six-Day War in June 1967, Arab leaders convened in Khartoum at the end of August to reassess their approach towards Israel. The resulting consensus articulated in what became known as the "three no's" doctrine emphasized a refusal to recognize Israel, engage in peace negotiations, or establish any form of diplomatic relations. This decision, articulated by Abd al Azim Ramadan, effectively narrowed the strategic options available to Arab states, solidifying the stance that conflict with Israel was unavoidable and necessitated military action as the only alternative.

The geopolitical tensions surrounding the Arab-Israeli conflict extended beyond the Middle East and had local ramifications within the United States. The assassination of American senator Robert F. Kennedy in June 1968, by Palestinian-Jordanian Sirhan Sirhan, was a notable incident linked to this broader context. Citing Kennedy's vocal support for Israel during the Six-Day War as his motivation, Sirhan's actions were described by some scholars as the first significant manifestation of the Arab-Israeli conflict on American soil, illustrating how international conflicts can have direct and violent repercussions domestically.

As tensions simmered, Egypt's War of Attrition initiated in 1969 represented an ongoing military engagement aimed at draining Israel’s resources and will to continue occupying the Sinai Peninsula. This protracted conflict persisted until the death of Egyptian leader Gamal Abdel Nasser in 1970. His successor, Anwar Sadat, recognized the need for a shift in Egyptian strategy, pursuing a rapprochement with the United States and expelling Soviet advisors from Egypt in hopes of prompting American pressure on Israel to negotiate territorial concessions.

The conflict escalated dramatically on 6 October 1973, when Egypt and Syria launched a coordinated surprise attack on Israel during Yom Kippur, the holiest day in the Jewish calendar. The attack caught Israeli forces off-guard, requiring several days for full mobilization. This conflict drew in additional Arab nations that provided support to the Egyptian and Syrian forces. Moreover, these nations agreed on implementing an oil embargo against industrialized nations, including the United States, Japan, and various Western European countries. The embargo led to a fourfold increase in oil prices and became a powerful political tool aimed at garnering international support against Israel. The Yom Kippur War also foreshadowed indirect military confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union as tensions mounted; when Israel began to gain the upper hand, the Soviet Union openly threatened to intervene, prompting the United States to facilitate a ceasefire on 25 October to prevent further escalation and potential nuclear conflict.

These years were pivotal in reshaping the dynamics of the Arab-Israeli conflict, establishing patterns of warfare, diplomatic maneuvering, and socio-political repercussions that would influence the region and its interactions with global powers for decades to come.

Following the signing of the Camp David Accords in 1978, which were facilitated by U.S. President Jimmy Carter, a landmark peace treaty between Israel and Egypt was formalized in March 1979. This treaty marked the first time an Arab country officially recognized the state of Israel, establishing a precedent for future peace efforts in the region. One of the pivotal outcomes of the agreement was the return of the Sinai Peninsula to Egyptian sovereignty, a territory Israel had occupied during the Six-Day War in 1967. This return was significant not only symbolically, but also strategically for Egypt, as the Sinai had military and economic importance.

The treaty also addressed the status of the Gaza Strip, which remained under Israeli control. Negotiations indicated that the area would be part of a future Palestinian state, highlighting the ongoing complexities of the Palestinian situation that would persist for decades. The agreement was a stepping stone for discussions surrounding Palestinian self-determination, even though concrete resolutions to the conflict remained elusive. Additionally, the treaty laid down protocols for maritime navigation, ensuring that Israeli ships could transit freely through the Suez Canal, while also designating the Straits of Tiran and the Gulf of Aqaba as international waterways. This ensured not only Israel’s access to vital shipping routes but also strengthened international maritime laws, fostering expectations for peace in the region.

The peace treaty had significant ramifications beyond the immediate territorial and governance changes. It led to a shift in Arab perceptions of Israel and laid the groundwork for future negotiations between Israel and other Arab nations. However, it also resulted in mixed reactions domestically within Egypt and across the Arab world, as many viewed the agreement as a betrayal of Palestinian aspirations. Over the years, the treaty has been challenged by various political regimes and public sentiments but remains a keystone in the quest for peace in the Middle East, demonstrating both the potential for diplomatic success and the deep-rooted challenges that exist in the region.

Peace Agreement Between Israel and Jordan

In October 1994, a landmark peace agreement was signed between Israel and Jordan, marking a significant step towards regional stability in the Middle East. This accord was the culmination of extensive negotiations and aimed to foster mutual cooperation, formally end hostilities, and delineate the Israel-Jordan border. Additionally, the agreement sought to address various outstanding issues that had arisen throughout decades of conflict. The financial toll of the conflict between these two nations was staggering, with estimates suggesting it cost approximately 18.3 billion dollars, highlighting the severe economic repercussions of ongoing tensions.

The signing of this peace accord at the southern border crossing of Arabah on 26 October 1994 was a pivotal moment in Middle Eastern diplomacy. It positioned Jordan as only the second Arab nation, after Egypt, to establish a formal peace treaty with Israel. This agreement not only aimed to improve bilateral relations but was also intertwined with broader peace processes in the region, particularly efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The dynamics of peace negotiations involving the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and the nascent Palestinian National Authority (PNA) were critical to the context of this treaty, as it represented a move towards recognized governance and cooperation.

The 1994 peace agreement led to various collaborative initiatives between Jordan and Israel, including economic partnerships, joint security efforts, and water resource management. These developments laid a foundation for stability and have allowed both nations to address shared challenges, such as terrorism and regional instability. Furthermore, the relationship between Jordan and Israel has proven significant in maintaining a balance of power in the region, particularly in the face of shifting alliances and emerging conflicts.

While this peace treaty marked a hopeful turning point, the complexities of Middle Eastern geopolitics pose ongoing challenges. Issues such as the status of Jerusalem, the rights of Palestinian refugees, and the question of Israeli settlements continue to influence the regional landscape. Nevertheless, the agreement between Jordan and Israel serves as a crucial example of diplomacy and negotiation in a historically tumultuous area, showcasing the possibilities for peace through dialogue.

== Iraq's Hostility Towards Israel ==

Since the establishment of Israel in 1948, Iraq has been a steadfast opponent of the Israeli state, viewing it through the lens of Arab nationalism and solidarity. One of Iraq's earliest military actions was to deploy its forces during the 1948 Arab-Israeli War, which was a pivotal conflict resulting from the end of the British Mandate of Palestine and the declaration of the State of Israel. This war saw multiple Arab nations, including Iraq, seek to contest the legitimacy and existence of Israel.

Iraq's association with anti-Israeli sentiments continued into subsequent conflicts. The country actively supported Egypt and Syria during the 1967 Six-Day War, where Israel achieved significant territorial gains, and again during the 1973 Yom Kippur War. The latter conflict was marked by a surprise attack by Egypt and Syria on Israeli positions during Yom Kippur, the holiest day in the Jewish calendar. Iraq contributed to the Arab military efforts, highlighting its commitment to Arab unity against the Israeli state.

A critical moment in the relationship occurred in June 1981 with Israel's Operation Opera, where Israeli Air Force jets successfully destroyed the Osirak nuclear reactor being constructed in Iraq. Israel viewed this facility as a potential threat, believing that Iraq could develop nuclear weapons capable of being used against it. This preemptive strike underscored the deep mistrust and adversarial relationship between the two nations.

The dynamics shifted during the Gulf War in 1991, when Iraq, under the leadership of Saddam Hussein, launched 39 Scud missiles targeting Israel in a bid to provoke a strong Arab response against the coalition forces that were working to liberate Kuwait. However, in a strategic decision encouraged by the United States, Israel refrained from retaliating, as a response could have risked fracturing the coalition and escalating the conflict further. This decision was emblematic of the complex geopolitical landscape in which regional relationships, alliances, and rivalries played a significant role in the actions of both Israel and Iraq.

The longstanding animosity between Israel and Iraq not only reflects a broader historical context of Arab-Israeli tensions but also exemplifies how regional and international politics can influence military strategies and national policies, making the relationship one of the most contentious in the history of the Middle East conflict.

== Lebanon and the Palestinian Presence ==

In the aftermath of the 1970 civil war in Jordan, a significant shift in the landscape of the Middle East occurred when King Hussein expelled the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) from Jordan. This episode, infamously termed "Black September,” marked a critical juncture in Arab history, as it exposed the fragility of Palestinian autonomy and further complicated the political dynamics in the region. The event led to the deaths of tens of thousands, predominantly Palestinians, and underscored the violent struggle for governance and identity within Jordan. Following this upheaval, the PLO relocated to Lebanon, seeking refuge and a new base from which to operate.

In Lebanon, the PLO began to exercise a form of de facto autonomy, effectively establishing a state within a state. This newfound power was not without consequences, as it contributed to the sectarian tensions that had been simmering in Lebanon. The presence of a significant Palestinian armed group exacerbated long-standing grievances among various Lebanese factions, ultimately triggering the Lebanese Civil War in 1975. The civil conflict, characterized by its complex interplay of local, regional, and international interests, saw the PLO involved in various alliances and confrontations, which further destabilized Lebanon.

Israel's military responses to PLO activities included Operation Litani in 1978, aimed at pushing Palestinian militants north of the Litani River. Following this, another round of hostilities in 1981 further strained relations between Israel and the PLO. The situation escalated dramatically in 1982, when Israel launched a full-scale invasion of Lebanon, collaborating with Christian militias in an effort to eradicate the PLO's military capabilities. This invasion culminated in the PLO's withdrawal from Lebanon after two months, although it did little to resolve underlying tensions.

Attempts at normalization between Israel and Lebanon were made with a truce signed in 1983, but external pressures, notably from Syria, led to its dissolution the following year. By 1985, Israeli forces had retreated to a narrow buffer zone in southern Lebanon, yet hostilities persisted, albeit at a reduced scale. The rise of Hezbollah, a Shiite militia that emerged in response to the Israeli presence, marked a new chapter in Lebanon's turbulent political landscape. Israel's ongoing military campaigns against Hezbollah in 1993 and 1996 reinforced the cyclical nature of violence in the region.

The end of the 1990s saw a pivotal change when the newly elected Israeli government, led by Ehud Barak, fulfilled a campaign promise to withdraw from southern Lebanon in May 2000. However, this hurried exit precipitated the collapse of the South Lebanon Army, leading many of its members to either flee to Israel or face arrest. The fallout from this withdrawal raised new questions about security, stability, and power dynamics within Lebanon, illustrating the profound and lingering impact of both Palestinians and regional conflicts on Lebanese society.

Palestinian Uprisings and Peace Efforts

The 1970s were a tumultuous period in the Middle East, shadowed by a rise in international terrorism that drew attention to the Palestinian cause. Notable incidents such as the Lod Airport massacre in 1972, the Munich Olympics Massacre that same year, and the Entebbe Hostage Taking in 1976 highlighted the desperate struggles faced by Palestinians to assert their identity and rights. These attacks involved civilian casualties and were often orchestrated as a means to draw global attention to the plight of the Palestinian people. The use of such violent methods sparked debates about the legitimacy and effectiveness of armed struggle versus political negotiation in addressing long-standing grievances.

In December 1987, the landscape of Palestinian resistance shifted dramatically with the onset of the First Intifada, a significant uprising against Israeli occupation in the Palestinian territories. Originating in the Jabalia refugee camp, the Intifada quickly gained momentum, igniting mass protests and civil disobedience throughout both Gaza and the West Bank. Demonstrators employed a variety of tactics, including general strikes, boycotts of Israeli goods, and graffiti, creating a vivid symbol of resistance. Youths famously engaged in stone-throwing confrontations with the Israel Defense Forces, drawing substantial media coverage and public sympathy for their cause. The Israeli army’s severe responses, which included the use of live ammunition and mass arrests, were met with widespread criticism from the international community. This stark contrast between the overwhelming military force and the grassroots Palestinian uprising necessitated a reassessment of the prevailing narratives regarding both sides.

The First Intifada set the stage for a political breakthrough when, in 1993, Israeli and Palestinian representatives agreed to peace talks in Oslo, Norway. The culmination of these negotiations resulted in the signing of the Oslo Accords in September 1993, a pivotal moment in Israeli-Palestinian relations. The accords, officially termed the Declaration of Principles, marked the first recognition of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) by Israel as the legitimate representative of the Palestinian people. Simultaneously, the PLO acknowledged Israel's right to exist and condemned violence as a means of achieving political ends. This historic agreement paved the way for further discussions aimed at resolving the ongoing conflict.

The subsequent Oslo II agreement in 1995 built upon the earlier groundwork by delineating governance structures within the West Bank. This agreement divided the territory into Areas A, B, and C, establishing differing levels of control and responsibilities. Area A was designated for full Palestinian civilian authority and internal security, while Israel maintained military control over Areas B and C. The agreements represented a landmark shift from conflict to negotiation, although the actual implementation and continued settlement activities have frequently hampered progress toward lasting peace. As such, the Oslo Accords remain integral to understanding the complexities of ongoing Israeli-Palestinian relations, illustrating the challenges of reconciling territorial rights, national identities, and security concerns in a deeply entrenched conflict.

The Al-Aqsa Intifada, which erupted in late 2000, marked a significant escalation in the longstanding Arab-Israeli conflict, pressing the Israeli government to reevaluate its strategies and approaches toward Palestinian territories and populations. Triggered by a visit from then opposition leader Ariel Sharon to the Temple Mount, a site sacred to both Jews and Muslims, the Intifada led to widespread violence and a significant rise in suicide bombings targeting Israeli civilians. In response to the deteriorating security situation, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) launched Operation Defensive Shield in March 2002. This comprehensive military operation was notable for being the largest scale of Israeli military engagement since the 1967 Six-Day War, aimed at reasserting control over the Palestinian territories and dismantling militant infrastructure.

As the conflict between the IDF and Palestinian groups escalated, Israel intensified its security measures around the West Bank, reoccupying parts of Area A, which was meant to be under Palestinian Authority control according to the Oslo Accords. By establishing an intricate system of roadblocks and checkpoints, Israel aimed to limit access to Palestinian regions and protect Israeli settlements from attacks. However, this strategy had a profound impact on the daily lives of Palestinians, leading to widespread restrictions on movement and economic activity. Despite this increased military presence, starting in 2008, the IDF began transferring certain security responsibilities back to Palestinian security forces, indicating a gradual shift towards the possibility of renewed cooperation.

In a significant development during this tumultuous period, Ariel Sharon adopted a policy of disengagement from the Gaza Strip, which he fully implemented in August 2005. The announcement of this decision shocked many, as just a year earlier, Sharon had defended the settlements in Gaza with fervor, equating their importance with that of major Israeli cities like Tel Aviv. The plan to evacuate 17 settlements in Gaza along with several in the West Bank marked a pivotal reversal for the Israeli settler movement, which had seen steady growth since the late 1960s. While the policy garnered support from key figures within Sharon’s administration, including Ehud Olmert and Tzipi Livni, it faced fierce opposition from hardline members of his party, such as Silvan Shalom and Benjamin Netanyahu. The uncertainties surrounding this disengagement raised questions not only about the future of Israeli settlements but also about its potential impact on the peace process and the aspirations of both Palestinians and Israelis for a resolution to the conflict.

Israel's conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah have been marked by a series of violent encounters, significant military operations, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. One of the most notable incidents began in June 2006 when Hamas militants infiltrated an IDF position near the Gaza Strip, resulting in the abduction of Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit. The attack resulted in the deaths of two Israeli soldiers and injuries to Shalit himself, sparking Israel's Operation Summer Rains to secure his release. Shalit was held captive by Hamas for more than five years and was ultimately released on October 18, 2011, in exchange for a staggering 1,027 Palestinian prisoners, an event that generated mixed reactions within Israeli society and the international community.

The conflict escalated with Hezbollah's cross-border attacks from Lebanon in July 2006, which resulted in the deaths of eight Israeli soldiers and the abduction of two more, igniting the 2006 Lebanon War. This confrontation led to widespread devastation in Lebanon, with casualties exceeding a thousand Lebanese and over 150 Israelis, alongside significant infrastructural damage and the displacement of hundreds of thousands of civilians from both countries. A UN-brokered ceasefire brought an end to the conflict on August 14, 2006. However, the aftermath has left long-lasting repercussions, including uninhabitable areas in Southern Lebanon due to unexploded ordnance.

Following the intense conflicts of the mid-2000s, a critical turning point occurred in June 2007 when Hamas gained control of the Gaza Strip after a violent clash with rival faction Fatah. Subsequently, Israel and Egypt imposed a blockade on Gaza, citing security concerns over Hamas's capacity to launch attacks and smuggle weapons into Israel. This blockade has continued to spark humanitarian concerns regarding the living conditions of the Gaza Strip's civilian population. Additionally, in September 2007, Israel conducted Operation Orchard, targeting a facility in Syria that was alleged to be constructing a nuclear reactor with North Korean support, further highlighting the regional tensions surrounding Israel’s security.

In the following years, discussions around a peace treaty between Syria and Israel emerged, but these negotiations remained stagnant amid political complexities. The situation was further complicated by issues surrounding Israeli settlements in the West Bank, which were criticized internationally for undermining the peace process. A fragile truce with Hamas finally broke down in late 2008, leading to Israel's Operation Cast Lead against Hamas, amidst accusations of war crimes from various human rights organizations directed at both parties involved.

As tensions continued, incidents such as the Gaza Freedom Flotilla in May 2010 exacerbated relations not only between Israel and Hamas but also with Turkey, resulting in international backlash against Israel. Following the cessation of peace talks between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, Hamas intensified its militant activities, further complicating the already volatile situation. The years that followed saw a surge in rocket attacks aimed at Israel, prompting responses that included military operations like Operation Pillar of Cloud in November 2012 after the assassination of Hamas military leader Ahmed Jabari.

Despite international outrage and calls for restraint after significant casualties reported during these operations, some nations, including the U.S. and its allies, maintained support for Israel's right to defend itself, illustrating the complexities of international diplomacy in the region. The cycle of violence continued into subsequent years, marked by significant military operations in Gaza in 2014 and again in May 2021, underscoring the persistent instability fueled by longstanding grievances, security concerns, and the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Israel's Involvement in the Syrian Civil War

Israel's military engagement in the Syrian Civil War has primarily consisted of targeted missile strikes against specific threats rather than extensive military involvement. Officially, Israel has maintained a position of neutrality regarding the internal conflict. However, this neutrality is complicated by Israel's firm opposition to the expanding influence of Iran within Syria. Israel perceives Iran's presence as a direct threat to its national security, given Iran's support for militant groups like Hezbollah that operate near the Israeli border.

Since mid-2016, Israel has significantly increased its humanitarian efforts to assist victims of the war through a program known as Operation Good Neighbor. This initiative has allowed the Israeli military to provide medical assistance and other forms of aid to displaced Syrians, reflecting a humanitarian facet to its strategy in the region. Despite this assistance, the primary motivation behind Israel's military actions remains countering Iranian influence and preventing the transfer of advanced weaponry to Hezbollah and other militant organizations.

The complex geopolitical landscape surrounding the Syrian Civil War involves various national interests, with Iran playing a central role that raises alarms for Israel. Iranian-backed militias are suspected of planning and launching attacks against Israeli forces along the border, which has led to a cycle of retaliation, including airstrikes by Israel targeting arms convoys. This ongoing tension underlines the precarious nature of Israel's northern border and the broader implications for regional security.

In a related context, geopolitical dynamics in the region were further complicated by the United States' recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital on December 9, 2017, under President Donald Trump's administration. This announcement sparked widespread condemnation internationally and heightened tensions in the region, culminating in protests along the Gaza border in 2018. The subsequent opening of the new U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem on May 14, 2018, served to solidify U.S. support for Israel, yet it also contributed to increased instability and heightened the already fraught relationship between Israel and the Palestinian territories amidst the ongoing turmoil of the Syrian conflict and other regional issues.

Israeli normalization with Gulf states and Sudan marked a significant shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics, particularly following the warming of relations between Israel and various Gulf States that started to gain traction in late 2017. This shift was largely motivated by a shared concern over Iranian influence in the region, prompting an informal alliance between Israel and Sunni Arab states, chiefly Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman. At the forefront of this diplomatic realignment was the realization of mutual security interests, as both Israel and these Gulf nations feared the destabilizing effects of Iranian expansionism within the region. The culmination of these diplomatic overtures was highlighted during the February 2019 Warsaw Conference, where the discussions surrounding regional security and collaboration against Iranian threats were under intense public scrutiny.

The normalization trend continued to gather pace, as further diplomatic engagements unfolded between Israel and Sudan. In February 2020, a notable meeting took place between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Sudan's Sovereignty Council Chairman, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, in Uganda. This meeting led to an agreement to normalize relations, an impactful development given Sudan's historical positioning and its recent transitions post-conflict. The agreement allowed for Israeli aircraft flights over Sudan, indicating a tangible step towards mutual recognition. Shortly thereafter, the Abraham Accords were officially signed between Israel and the United Arab Emirates on August 13, 2020, with Bahrain following suit. These accords were designed not only to enhance bilateral ties but also to introduce a sense of stability to the region, although part of the agreement included Israel’s commitment to suspend plans for the annexation of the Jordan Valley, showcasing the delicate balance of regional politics.

In the context of the ongoing 2023 Hamas–Israel War, the complexities of Arab-Israeli relations became even more pronounced. While various Arab League nations expressed condemnation towards Israeli military actions in Gaza, the overall response was fragmented. The internal divisions within the Arab world were sharpened, as major players refrained from a unified intervention in support of Hamas, signaling a significant departure from past dynamics where Arab states would typically rally behind the Palestinian cause without hesitation. Notably, during the Cairo summit on October 21, 2023, there was no unified statement emanating from the member states, underscoring the divergent perspectives among Arab leaders. The Saudi ambassador to the United Kingdom, Khalid bin Bandar Al Saud, emphasized in a January 2024 BBC interview that while Saudi Arabia remains invested in peace and the normalization of relations with Israel, this must be contingent upon the establishment of a recognized Palestinian state. This indicates a potential future pathway for Arab-Israeli relations shaped by diplomacy, yet also reminds us of the enduring complexities tied to the Palestinian issue that continue to influence regional stability.

Cost of Conflict in the Middle East

The long-standing Arab-Israeli conflict has had significant economic ramifications, estimated by the Strategic Foresight Group to present an opportunity cost of $12 trillion for the Middle East from 1991 to 2010. This figure reflects the potential economic gains that could have been realized had peace prevailed in the region. The report assesses the difference between the current GDP and the peace GDP, revealing a stark disparity. Israel’s share of this lost opportunity is estimated to be nearly $1 trillion. Iraq and Saudi Arabia bear even larger economic burdens, with estimated costs of approximately $2.2 trillion and $4.5 trillion, respectively. If cooperative efforts had been established among Israel and the Arab League nations since 1991, the economic outlook for individual Israeli citizens would have drastically improved. For instance, it is projected that the average income would have increased to over $44,000 per year, in striking contrast to the $23,000 reported in 2010.

Beyond economic losses, the human cost of the conflict has been devastating. From 1945 to 1995, an estimated 92,000 lives were lost, of which 74,000 were military personnel and 18,000 were civilians. The violent history is interwoven with numerous wars and uprisings, each leading to significant casualties on both sides. The First Arab-Israeli War (1948-1949) marked one of the earliest and deadliest confrontations, resulting in 6,373 Israeli deaths and about 10,000 Arab deaths as Israel solidified its independence. The conflicts over decades showcase a pattern of combat, such as the Six-Day War of 1967 and the Yom Kippur War of 1973, each producing thousands of casualties and shifting territorial controls.

The period of the First and Second Intifadas, which included tumultuous uprisings against Israeli occupation, further exacerbated human losses, with thousands of Palestinian and Israeli lives lost. Notable figures include 1,491 Palestinian deaths during the First Intifada and 4,973 during the Second. The skirmishes have continued into the present, with the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas leading to staggering casualties as of July 2024, reporting between 30,000 and 40,000 Arab deaths alongside 1,437 Israeli fatalities.

The evidence of the toll that prolonged conflict has taken on both economic potential and human life is clear and profound. Each military engagement and uprising has not only deepened divisions but has also resulted in lasting repercussions that affect future generations. The possibility of peace and cooperation remains a pivotal element necessary to address these extensive losses and to work towards a more stable and prosperous future for the region.